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ALB vs. SQM: Which Lithium Stock Should You Bet on Now?

Albemarle Corporation ALB and Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile S.A. SQM are prominent players in the lithium space. Both companies are well-positioned to gain from robust long-term growth in lithium demand from electric vehicles (EVs) and energy storage systems.

Falling lithium market prices have been weighing on lithium stocks lately. Lithium prices have pulled back amid slowing demand for EVs in China, an inventory glut and prospects of increased supply from mine restarts and capacity additions. EV orders have slowed in China, the world’s biggest lithium consumer, while demand in energy storage systems remains healthy.

Let’s dive deep and closely compare the fundamentals of these two major lithium stocks to determine the better investment option now amid the prevailing lithium market environment.

The Case for ALB

Albemarle is well-placed to gain from long-term growth in the battery-grade lithium market. The market for lithium batteries and energy storage remains strong, offering significant opportunities for the company to develop innovative products and expand capacity. Lithium demand is expected to grow on the back of significant global EV penetration.

ALB expects lithium demand to witness a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10-20% from 2025 to 2030. Stationary storage is expected to be a significant driver for lithium demand along with EVs. Albemarle expects demand to grow roughly 15-40% this year, with growth already trending near the higher end of the range.

The company is strategically executing its projects to boost its global lithium conversion capacity. It remains focused on investing in high-return projects to drive productivity. Healthy customer demand, capacity expansion and plant productivity improvements are supporting its volumes.

The Salar yield improvement project in Chile has achieved a 50-60% operating rate, and the ramp-up continues to deliver encouraging outcomes. Albemarle, in March 2026, submitted the environmental assessment permit for a commercial direct lithium extraction (DLE) project at Salar de Atacama. The DLE pilot plant supports future growth at Salar de Atacama and has demonstrated lithium recoveries of more than 90%. The CGP3 expansion at the Greenbushes spodumene mine in Australia is underway and is expected to reach full production in first-quarter 2027.

Albemarle is taking aggressive cost-saving and productivity actions. The company delivered roughly $450 million in cost and productivity improvements for full-year 2025, having surpassed its initial target of $300-$400 million. It expects additional cost and productivity improvements of $100-$150 million in 2026, with $100 million already delivered.

Albemarle remains committed to driving shareholder value by leveraging healthy cash flows and strong liquidity. Its operating cash flow was around $1.3 billion in 2025, up roughly 86% from the prior year. At the end of the second quarter of 2026, it had liquidity of around $3.2 billion, including cash and cash equivalents of around $1.6 billion. The company generated an operating cash flow of $710 million and free cash flow of $638 million in the second quarter. Operating cash flow for the first half nearly doubled year over year to roughly $1.1 billion.

The company remains focused on maintaining its dividend payout. It has raised its quarterly dividend for the 30th straight year. ALB offers a dividend yield of 1.2% at the current stock price.

ALB’s Energy Storage unit faces volume pressure in 2026, which may affect the segment’s sales. The company’s guidance reflects flat to 4% lower year-over-year Energy Storage sales volumes in 2026. Albemarle expects Energy Storage sales volumes of 225-235 kilotons (kt) compared with 235kt in 2025, as higher Wodgina output partly offsets a delay in the CGP3 ramp-up following the June 9, 2026 fire. Lower sales volumes are expected to result in a decline in Energy Storage sales in the third quarter.

Some impacts of the lithium price retreat are also expected to reflect on the company’s performance in the third quarter. ALB expects sequentially lower prices and volumes to result in a decline in Energy Storage sales and margins compared with the second quarter.

The Case for SQM

Chile-based Sociedad Quimica produces plant nutrients, iodine, lithium and industrial chemicals. SQM is gaining from the favorable trends in the lithium market. Higher demand is expected to continue to support the company’s lithium sales volumes.

SQM logged record lithium sales volumes of more than 84,000 metric tons (MT) of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) in the second quarter on strong market demand. SQM projects global lithium demand to surpass 2.1 million metric tons of LCE this year.

The Nova Andino Litio business recorded roughly 47% higher volumes in the second quarter compared to the prior-year quarter, driven by demand strength in battery energy storage systems. Nova Andino Litio’s average realized sales price increased nearly 160% year over year in the second quarter, and SQM expects prices to remain stable in the third quarter.

Nova Andino achieved a key milestone with the submission of the environmental and technical documentation for the Salar Futuro project. The project represents a major part of SQM’s long-term growth strategy in the Salar de Atacama. Sociedad Quimica projects total capital expenditure of roughly $3 billion for the 2026-2028 period, which includes investment in the Salar Futuro project in Chile.

SQM is operating at full capacity at the Mt. Holland mine and concentrator in Australia and continues to ramp up the Kwinana refinery. Australian operations delivered strong sales volumes during the second quarter, reaching 8.3 thousand MT. SQM, along with its partner Wesfarmers Limited, has announced the expansion of the Mt. Holland mine and concentrator, which is expected to double spodumene concentrate production capacity. First production from the expansion is expected during 2030.

Earlier this year, SQM and Codelco completed their strategic partnership to jointly develop the Atacama salt flat. The partnership was completed through the merger by absorption of Codelco’s subsidiary, Minera Tarar SpA, into SQM’s subsidiary, SQM Salar SpA.

This major milestone paves the way for the production of refined lithium in the Salar de Atacama until 2060 and contributes to making Chile a leader in lithium production. Improvements in process efficiency, the adoption of new technologies and the optimization of operations are expected to lead to incremental lithium production through 2060. The first quarter of 2026 marked SQM’s first full quarter of operation alongside Codelco through the Nova Andino Litio partnership.

Sociedad Quimica’s robust balance sheet supports its capital investment in growth projects and shareholder-friendly actions. It exited the second quarter with strong liquidity, with cash and cash equivalents being around $3.4 billion. SQM offers a dividend yield of 3.4% at the current stock price.