EQT (EQT) Down 0.7% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?

A month has gone by since the last earnings report for EQT Corporation (EQT). Shares have lost about 0.7% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.

Will the recent negative trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is EQT due for a breakout? Well, first let's take a quick look at the most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the recent catalysts for EQT Corporation before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late.

EQT Q2 Earnings & Revenues Miss Estimates 

EQT Corporation reported second-quarter 2026 adjusted earnings of 39 cents per share, down 13.3% year over year. The figure also missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 41 cents by 4.9%.

Revenues declined 29.2% year over year to $1.81 billion and missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.84 billion by 1.4%.

The weaker-than-expected quarterly results can be attributed to lower realized natural gas-equivalent prices despite an 11.7% increase in sales volume.

EQT Expands Its Integrated Platform

The company completed its $77 million acquisition of Blackline Midstream LLC on July 21, 2026, which operates two propane storage and distribution terminals in New England. The assets provide 46 million gallons of storage capacity and are expected to generate an average annual free cash flow of about $15 million over the next five years.

Production Strength Supports Results

Total sales volume increased to 634 billion cubic feet equivalent (Bcfe) in the second quarter from 568 Bcfe in the year-ago quarter. The figure came in higher than our estimate of 572 Bcfe. Production exceeded the high end of management’s guidance, driven by strong well performance, system-pressure optimization and fewer price-related curtailments than expected.

Natural gas sales volume was 597 Bcf, up from 534 Bcf in the year-ago quarter. The figure surpassed our estimate of 541 Bcf. The total liquid sales volume was 6,249 thousand barrels (MBbls), up from the year-ago level of 5,631 MBbls. The figure beat our projection of 5,172 MBbls.

The company also benefited from compression projects that reduced decline rates and improved well productivity. These operational gains prompted management to raise its 2026 production outlook by roughly 90 Bcfe.

Realized Pricing Weighs on EQT's Revenues

The average realized price declined 5.7% year over year to $2.65 per thousand cubic feet equivalent (Mcfe). The figure also missed our estimate of $2.94 per Mcfe.

The average natural gas price, including cash-settled derivatives, was $2.38 per Mcf, which declined from $2.88 a year ago. Our estimate for the same was pinned at $2.75 per Mcf.

The natural gas sales price was $3.05 per Mcf, down from $3.63 recorded a year ago.

The oil price was $70.14 per barrel compared with $51.70 in the year-ago figure. Our estimate for the same was pegged at $77.16 per barrel.

Sales of natural gas, natural gas liquids and oil decreased 5.3% year-over-year to $1.61 billion. Pipeline and other revenues rose to $155.3 million from $137.3 million a year ago.

EQT Keeps Per-Unit Costs Under Control

Total operating costs were $1.03 per Mcfe, down from $1.08 a year earlier and at the low end of the company’s guidance. Lower transmission, processing, production tax and operating-and-maintenance expenses supported the improvement.

Gathering expenses totaled 9 cents per Mcfe, up from the year-ago level of 8 cents. Transmission expenses stood at 40 cents per Mcfe, down from 45 cents recorded a year ago. Lease operating expenses amounted to 10 cents per Mcfe, up from 9 cents in the corresponding period of 2025. Selling, general and administrative expenses came in at 17 cents per Mcfe, up from the year-ago figure of 14 cents.

Cash Flow 

Adjusted EBITDA attributable to EQT increased to $1.07 billion from $1.03 billion in the prior-year period. Adjusted operating cash flow attributable to the company climbed to $1.01 billion from $794 million in the second quarter of 2025.

Free cash flow attributable to EQT climbed 37.6% to $329.7 million. Capital expenditures totaled $666.3 million, up from $553.6 million but 9% below the low end of guidance, reflecting operating efficiencies and lower infrastructure spending. The company paid $103 million in dividends during the second quarter of 2026.

Balance Sheet

EQT ended the second quarter with total debt of $5.7 billion and net debt of $5.5 billion, down from $7.8 billion and $7.69 billion, respectively, at the end of 2025.

The company had approximately $3.6 billion of liquidity and $52 million outstanding under its $3.5 billion revolving credit facility. Subsequent to quarter-end, EQT repaid $115 million of debentures due in 2026.

Outlook 

Management updated its full-year 2026 sales volume guidance to 2,375-2,450 Bcfe. Third-quarter production is projected to be between 570 Bcfe and 620 Bcfe, with 34-50 net wells scheduled to be turned in line.

Full-year maintenance capital spending is forecast at $2.04-$2.19 billion. The updated range incorporates a $25 million reduction in capital-spending guidance. Third-quarter maintenance expenditures are expected to be between $510 million and $580 million, while growth capital spending is projected at $200-$240 million.

How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?

In the past month, investors have witnessed a downward trend in estimates review.

The consensus estimate has shifted -10.03% due to these changes.

VGM Scores

At this time, EQT has a nice Growth Score of B, a score with the same score on the momentum front. Charting a somewhat similar path, the stock was allocated a score of C on the value side, putting it in the middle 20% for value investors.

Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of C. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.

Outlook

Estimates have been broadly trending downward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions indicates a downward shift. It's no surprise EQT has a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell). We expect a below average return from the stock in the next few months.

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This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

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