Will Refining Business Strength Continue to Support Par Pacific?

Par Pacific Holdings Inc PARR continued to benefit from a strong refining market as it entered the third quarter. Its refining index, which is a rough measure of how profitable it is to turn crude oil into products like gasoline and diesel, was still very high in July at $31.34 per barrel, slightly below the second-quarter average of about $33.

Demand for fuels remained solid, especially on the mainland, while global fuel inventories stayed relatively tight. In simple terms, there was still healthy demand for refined products and limited excess supply, which helped Par Pacific continue earning attractive margins from its refineries.

Looking ahead, PARR appears well-positioned to benefit from still-strong refining margins, firm fuel demand and tight global product inventories. Although the Hawaii turnaround could weigh on third-quarter throughput and margin capture in the near term, the broader refining backdrop remains supportive of continued strong earnings.

Will PSX and VLO Also Gain?

The favorable business environment is also likely to benefit refiners such as Phillips 66 PSX and Valero Energy VLO.

On its second-quarter 2026 earnings call, PSX noted that there aren’t enough refineries or products globally right now because much refining capacity is offline and fuel inventories are low. China is also exporting less fuel than usual. This shortage helps keep refining margins, also called crack spreads, high. PSX believes these shortages may take longer to resolve than in 2022, which could keep the energy major’s refining profits strong into the September quarter and potentially 2027.

Valero Energy is unlikely to be an exception. The overall favorable refining business backdrop is also likely to be aiding VLO’s bottom line.

PARR’s Price Performance, Valuation & Estimates

Shares of PARR have gained 142.9% over the past year compared with the industry’s growth of 84.9%.

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From a valuation standpoint, PARR trades at a trailing 12-month enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) of 3.26X. This is below the broader industry average of 5.67X.

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The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PARR’s 2026 earnings hasn’t seen any revisions over the past seven days.

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Par Pacific currently sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

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This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

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